Lastly, we will quantify scenario and modeling uncertainties in our human-water system model developed through ensemble experiments. To this end, we will first develop multiple climate, land use, and socioeconomic scenarios, as well as policies to tackle water theft, to sample scenario uncertainty (multi-forcing).
Next, we will assemble multiple models of individual behavior, local human interactions, regional to global human interactions, and water systems, each with alternative structure and/or parameter values, to sample modeling uncertainty (multi-model).